Seyyed Mohammad Hosseini

The message of rationality and deterrence

The meaning and semiotics of the secretary-general of Hezbollah, Seyyed Hassan Nasrallah, on Friday, November 3, with the technique of qualitative content analysis, showed his message was based on two axes of rational behavior and Hezbollah deterrence.
شنبه ۱۳ آبان ۱۴۰۲

Possible futures in the Gaza war for the next ten days

The surprising operation of October 7 by Hamas on the Zionist regime caused irreparable damage to the reputation and image of the intelligence power of this regime. The casualties and, more importantly, the blow to the reputation of the imaginary power of the Zionist regime were unprecedented in the past 50 years. An example of this amount of casualties can be found in the Kippur War of 1973.
یکشنبه ۲۳ مهر ۱۴۰۲

Is World War III ahead?

Although the uncertainties are abundant and the current scene of the Gaza battlefield is complex, the events needed for World War III are sufficient. Still, the necessary drivers for World War III are insufficient.
چهارشنبه ۲۴ آبان ۱۴۰۲

From the Ukrainization of the war in Gaza to World War III!

With the free use of Theda Skocpol's theory about the occurrence of revolutions, it can be said that the extent and depth of the crises after Hamas's attack on Israel is enough to cause World War III. It only takes a chain of events to link the current crises together so that humanity will witness another world war. A review of the conflicts and events that led to World War I and II provides a comparative analysis to explain the current crisis drivers toward a world war.
دوشنبه ۱ آبان ۱۴۰۲

The new chapter of Iran-Saudi relations

Geopolitical balancing is the rational action of all actors in the international system and subsystems. The greater the importance of the subsystem (region), the more sensitive and complex geopolitical balancing becomes, so that the process of balancing it includes a range of conflict-oriented to interaction-oriented actions.
دوشنبه ۳ مهر ۱۴۰۲

The fourth wave of Arab nationalism: opportunities and threats

Recently, a new wave of Arab nationalism has spread in the Persian Gulf countries, which is specific, introverted, inspiring, and popularly accepted. Before I address the characteristics of the fourth wave of Arab nationalism and enumerate its opportunities and threats for the Islamic Republic of Iran, it is necessary to briefly overview three experiences of nationalism in the Arab world.
یکشنبه ۱۹ شهریور ۱۴۰۲

Lines and interlines of the foreign minister's trip to Saudi Arabia

Since the crisis in relations between Iran and Saudi Arabia started on January 2, 2016, with the issue of this country's embassy and consulate in Tehran and Mashhad, I considered the revival of relations between Tehran and Riyadh to be the key to solving many crises in Iran's foreign policy, and to explain this idea; I published many articles and analyses. My main idea, which was and is based on extensive empirical evidence, include:
شنبه ۴ شهریور ۱۴۰۲

What image of Saudi Arabia will the upcoming Jeddah meeting create?

In order to maintain their power and increase their internal and external power, the rulers of Saudi Arabia have learned one thing well and are working carefully: "the systematic compatibility of the government with power-making processes."
شنبه ۱۴ مرداد ۱۴۰۲

Neofunctionality for NATO

The philosophy of the formation of NATO after World War II was the confrontation with the military-security threat; the treaty was signed in Washington in April 1949. What has turned the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) into a powerful regime in Article 5 of this Treaty, in which a military attack on one of the members of this organization is considered equivalent to a military attack on all members of the organization, and all members must defend and attack the military for such a military threat and attack.
شنبه ۳۱ تیر ۱۴۰۲

Erdoğan's trip to Riyadh and Abu Dhabi; The beginning of the order-making process in the region

Hans Joachim Morgenthau considers the government as a unified entity with the specific function of maintaining the nation's survival, acting based on the national interest. Maintaining survival has different aspects, starting from security and ending at its highest level, which is maintaining the quality of life in material and spiritual dimensions.
دوشنبه ۲ مرداد ۱۴۰۲